Karlskrona vs Nosaby Thursday 30th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Karlskrona Nosaby

Karlskrona W W W L D W

Nosaby D L W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nosaby	Karlskrona	3 - 1	June 6, 2026
Karlskrona	Nosaby	1 - 1	August 2, 2025
Nosaby	Karlskrona	0 - 4	May 11, 2025
Nosaby	Karlskrona	1 - 1	August 9, 2024
Karlskrona	Nosaby	3 - 0	April 14, 2024
Karlskrona	Nosaby	6 - 0	August 19, 2023

Karlskrona Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Österlen	0 - 3	Win
Jun 18, 26	Home	Karlshamn	3 - 1	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Linero	2 - 4	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Nosaby	3 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Lilla Torg W	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Oskarshamns AIK	0 - 3	Win

Nosaby Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 17, 26	Home	Lilla Torg W	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Away	Österlen	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Karlskrona	3 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Karlshamn	2 - 2	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	Staffanstorp United	5 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Sölvesborg	2 - 0	Win

Division 2 - Södra Götaland Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Karlskrona	14	9	3	2	28	16	+12	30
7	Nosaby	13	5	5	3	23	21	+2	20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.17% likelihood that both Karlskrona and Nosaby will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Karlskrona to win

This prediction indicates that Karlskrona has a 64.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.92 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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