Kaspiy vs Ordabasy Saturday 11th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Kaspiy Ordabasy

Kaspiy W L L L D L

Ordabasy W W W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ordabasy	Kaspiy	2 - 0	June 20, 2026
Kaspiy	Ordabasy	1 - 0	October 29, 2023
Ordabasy	Kaspiy	3 - 1	March 4, 2023
Ordabasy	Kaspiy	4 - 1	July 4, 2022
Kaspiy	Ordabasy	2 - 1	April 3, 2022
Ordabasy	Kaspiy	1 - 1	September 27, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Atyrau	2 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Ordabasy	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Kaisar	1 - 2	Loss
May 28, 26	Away	Zhenys	1 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Irtysh	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Ulytau	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	Ulytau	0 - 1	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Kaspiy	2 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Yelimay Semey	1 - 3	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	2 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	FK Tobol Kostanay	0 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Zhetysu	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	14	10	4	0	26	9	+17	34
12	Kaspiy	15	4	2	9	12	17	-5	14

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.37% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ordabasy has a 49.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.61 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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