Kaspiy vs Yelimay Semey Sunday 16th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Kaspiy Yelimay Semey

Kaspiy L W D W W W

Yelimay Semey D L D D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Yelimay Semey	Kaspiy	0 - 1	May 9, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Irtysh	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Zhenys	3 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Kaisar	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Ordabasy	3 - 2	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Atyrau	1 - 2	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Atyrau	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Kaisar	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 19, 26	Away	Ordabasy	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 16, 26	Home	Alashkert	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 9, 26	Away	Alashkert	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Kyzyl-Zhar	0 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Yelimay Semey	18	8	6	4	27	22	+5	30
8	Kaspiy	19	7	3	9	21	23	-2	24

This prediction indicates that Yelimay Semey has a 50.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.98 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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