Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius Sunday 16th August 2026 06:45 PM football predictions.

Kauno Žalgiris TransINVEST Vilnius

Kauno Žalgiris W D W W W D

TransINVEST Vilnius W L L D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
TransINVEST Vilnius	Kauno Žalgiris	1 - 2	June 20, 2026
Kauno Žalgiris	TransINVEST Vilnius	1 - 2	April 18, 2026
TransINVEST Vilnius	Kauno Žalgiris	0 - 1	March 22, 2025
TransINVEST Vilnius	Kauno Žalgiris	0 - 3	August 31, 2024
Kauno Žalgiris	TransINVEST Vilnius	2 - 0	June 26, 2024
TransINVEST Vilnius	Kauno Žalgiris	3 - 2	May 2, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	KI Klaksvik	1 - 0	Win
Jul 21, 26	Away	KI Klaksvik	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Šiauliai	4 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Drita	2 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Panevėžys	3 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	Drita	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Džiugas Telšiai	1 - 0	Win
Jul 19, 26	Away	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Home	Banga	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 6, 26	Away	Suduva Marijampole	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 29, 26	Away	Šiauliai	1 - 3	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Kauno Žalgiris	1 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Kauno Žalgiris	22	11	7	4	44	16	+28	40
4	TransINVEST Vilnius	23	11	5	7	38	28	+10	38

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Kauno Žalgiris has a 62.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.13 %

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