A Lyga
Match Analysis
Kauno Žalgiris
Suduva Marijampole
Kauno Žalgiris
W
W
D
D
W
L
Suduva Marijampole
D
W
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Suduva Marijampole | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 - 1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Kauno Žalgiris | Suduva Marijampole | 1 - 1 | March 21, 2026 |
| Suduva Marijampole | Kauno Žalgiris | 0 - 4 | January 17, 2026 |
| Suduva Marijampole | Kauno Žalgiris | 1 - 0 | October 27, 2025 |
| Kauno Žalgiris | Suduva Marijampole | 1 - 1 | September 24, 2025 |
| Suduva Marijampole | Kauno Žalgiris | 0 - 0 | June 13, 2025 |
Kauno Žalgiris Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Drita | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Panevėžys | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 7, 26 | Home | Drita | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Džiugas Telšiai | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | TransINVEST Vilnius | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | Banga | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Suduva Marijampole Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | TransINVEST Vilnius | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 29, 26 | Away | Panevėžys | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Džiugas Telšiai | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 16, 26 | Home | Šiauliai | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Banga | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 29, 26 | Away | FK Trakai | 0 - 3 | Win |
A Lyga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauno Žalgiris | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 16 | +24 | 37 |
| 2 | Suduva Marijampole | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 16 | +13 | 36 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.44% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Kauno Žalgiris to win
This prediction indicates that Kauno Žalgiris has a 53.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.10 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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