Emperor Cup
Match Analysis
Kawasaki Frontale
Tochigi SC
Kawasaki Frontale
D
D
D
L
L
W
Tochigi SC
W
D
W
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | Tochigi SC | 4 - 1 | June 3, 2024 |
Kawasaki Frontale Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Kyoto Sanga | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Tokyo Verdy | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Vanraure Hachinohe | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Mito Hollyhock | 1 - 3 | Win |
Tochigi SC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Urayasu | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Roasso Kumamoto | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Kanazawa | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Kitakyushu | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Parceiro Nagano | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Vanraure Hachinohe | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.83% likelihood that both Kawasaki Frontale and Tochigi SC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Kawasaki Frontale to win
This prediction indicates that Kawasaki Frontale has a 57.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.71 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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