Keflavik vs KA Akureyri Wednesday 05th August 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Keflavik KA Akureyri

Keflavik W L D W D L

KA Akureyri D W L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
KA Akureyri	Keflavik	1 - 2	April 26, 2026
KA Akureyri	Keflavik	4 - 2	September 20, 2023
Keflavik	KA Akureyri	3 - 4	July 24, 2023
KA Akureyri	Keflavik	0 - 0	April 23, 2023
Keflavik	KA Akureyri	1 - 3	July 24, 2022
KA Akureyri	Keflavik	3 - 2	May 2, 2022

Keflavik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 20, 26	Home	IA Akranes	5 - 2	Win
Jul 13, 26	Away	Breidablik	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 6, 26	Home	Fram Reykjavik	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Home	KR Reykjavik	3 - 2	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Valur Reykjavik	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	FH hafnarfjordur	1 - 2	Loss

KA Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Away	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Home	IA Akranes	3 - 2	Win
Jul 2, 26	Away	Vikingur Reykjavik	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	Stjarnan	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Breidablik	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 15, 26	Home	Fram Reykjavik	3 - 4	Loss

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Keflavik	14	4	4	6	19	26	-7	16
9	KA Akureyri	15	4	2	9	24	32	-8	14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.35% likelihood that both Keflavik and KA Akureyri will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Keflavik or KA Akureyri to win

This prediction indicates that KA Akureyri has a 41.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.09 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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