Keilor Park vs Whittlesea United Friday 14th August 2026 12:30 PM football predictions.

Keilor Park Whittlesea United

Keilor Park L W W L W L

Whittlesea United D D D W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Whittlesea United	Keilor Park	4 - 0	May 1, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Home	Bayside Argonauts	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Werribee City	1 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Malvern	1 - 0	Win
Jul 3, 26	Away	Springvale	5 - 2	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Moreland City	2 - 0	Win
Jun 12, 26	Away	Nunawading	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Altona City	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 17, 26	Home	Essendon Royals SC	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Home	Kingston City	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Box Hill	1 - 3	Win
Jun 19, 26	Home	Bayside Argonauts	3 - 4	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	Werribee City	4 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Keilor Park	21	11	1	9	29	28	+1	34
7	Whittlesea United	21	7	8	6	32	23	+9	29

This prediction indicates that Keilor Park has a 38.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.46 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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