Keith vs Stonehaven Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Keith Stonehaven

Keith W L L D L L

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Aberdeen U21	2 - 0	Win
Sep 27, 25	Away	Bo'ness Athletic	2 - 1	Loss
Oct 26, 24	Home	Clydebank	0 - 3	Loss
Sep 28, 24	Home	Camelon Juniors	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 25, 24	Away	Elgin City	4 - 2	Loss
Sep 23, 23	Home	Luncarty	2 - 5	Loss

This prediction indicates that Keith has a 39.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.21 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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