Kenya vs Lesotho Sunday 07th June 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Kenya Lesotho

Kenya D L L L W W

Lesotho D W D L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lesotho	Kenya	1 - 1	June 4, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 4, 26	Away	Lesotho	1 - 1	Draw
Nov 18, 25	Away	Senegal	8 - 0	Loss
Nov 14, 25	Home	Equatorial Guinea	0 - 1	Loss
Oct 14, 25	Away	Ivory Coast	3 - 0	Loss
Oct 9, 25	Away	Burundi	0 - 1	Win
Sep 9, 25	Home	Seychelles	5 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 4, 26	Home	Kenya	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 29, 26	Home	Seychelles	2 - 1	Win
Mar 26, 26	Away	Seychelles	0 - 0	Draw
Nov 18, 25	Home	Malawi	0 - 1	Loss
Nov 15, 25	Home	Malawi	0 - 0	Draw
Oct 13, 25	Home	Zimbabwe	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
223	Lesotho	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
223	Kenya	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Kenya has a 47.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.82 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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