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Friendlies

June 7, 2026 3 weeks, 1 day ago
4 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Kenya Lesotho
Kenya D L L L W W
Lesotho D W D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Lesotho Kenya 1 - 1 June 4, 2026

Kenya Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 4, 26 Away Lesotho 1 - 1 Draw
Nov 18, 25 Away Senegal 8 - 0 Loss
Nov 14, 25 Home Equatorial Guinea 0 - 1 Loss
Oct 14, 25 Away Ivory Coast 3 - 0 Loss
Oct 9, 25 Away Burundi 0 - 1 Win
Sep 9, 25 Home Seychelles 5 - 0 Win

Lesotho Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 4, 26 Home Kenya 1 - 1 Draw
Mar 29, 26 Home Seychelles 2 - 1 Win
Mar 26, 26 Away Seychelles 0 - 0 Draw
Nov 18, 25 Home Malawi 0 - 1 Loss
Nov 15, 25 Home Malawi 0 - 0 Draw
Oct 13, 25 Home Zimbabwe 1 - 0 Win

Friendlies Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
223 Lesotho 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
223 Kenya 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Kenya to win
This prediction indicates that Kenya has a 47.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.82 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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