Kerry vs Finn Harps Friday 24th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Kerry Finn Harps

Kerry D L W W W L

Finn Harps L W D L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Finn Harps	Kerry	1 - 0	May 8, 2026
Kerry	Finn Harps	1 - 0	March 20, 2026
Finn Harps	Kerry	1 - 1	October 13, 2025
Kerry	Finn Harps	0 - 1	August 8, 2025
Finn Harps	Kerry	4 - 2	April 18, 2025
Kerry	Finn Harps	2 - 0	February 14, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Wexford	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Treaty United	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Longford Town	2 - 1	Win
Jun 19, 26	Away	UCD	0 - 1	Win
Jun 12, 26	Home	Athlone Town	1 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	Treaty United	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	Wexford	1 - 0	Win
Jun 26, 26	Away	Athlone Town	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	UCD	0 - 5	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Cork City	4 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Kerry	22	6	7	9	22	27	-5	25
9	Finn Harps	22	5	7	10	20	37	-17	22

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Kerry has a 44.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.29 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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