Kettering Town vs Worcester City Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Oct. 3, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Kettering Town Worcester City

Kettering Town W W D W L W

Worcester City W W D W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Quorn	2 - 0	Win
Sep 8, 26	Home	Wellingborough Town	2 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Wellingborough Town	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	Bedford Town	1 - 0	Win
Sep 13, 25	Away	Quorn	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 30, 25	Away	Long Eaton United	1 - 4	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Home	Stratford Town	2 - 1	Win
Sep 8, 26	Home	Knowle	1 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Knowle	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	Merthyr Town	1 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Evesham United	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	Malvern Town	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction indicates that Kettering Town has a 47.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.23 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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