Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Kilmarnock Ayr Utd

Kilmarnock D W W D W W

Ayr Utd W W W W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kilmarnock	Ayr Utd	1 - 0	July 4, 2025
Ayr Utd	Kilmarnock	3 - 2	July 11, 2024
Ayr Utd	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	March 11, 2022
Kilmarnock	Ayr Utd	1 - 2	February 9, 2022
Ayr Utd	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	October 26, 2021
Kilmarnock	Ayr Utd	2 - 0	August 2, 2021

Kilmarnock Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Peterhead	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 21, 26	Home	Hamilton Academical	1 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Elgin City	0 - 1	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	Raith Rovers	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Linfield	2 - 3	Win
Jul 1, 26	Away	Glentoran	0 - 4	Win

Ayr Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	4 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Edinburgh City	2 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Falkirk	0 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Stranraer	2 - 3	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Airdrie United	2 - 1	Win
Jun 30, 26	Home	Dumbarton	3 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.97% likelihood that both Kilmarnock and Ayr Utd will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Kilmarnock to win

This prediction indicates that Kilmarnock has a 60.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.76 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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