Kilmarnock vs Hamilton Academical Tuesday 21st July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Kilmarnock Hamilton Academical

Kilmarnock W W W W W W

Hamilton Academical W D D W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kilmarnock	Hamilton Academical	2 - 0	March 5, 2022
Hamilton Academical	Kilmarnock	2 - 3	December 26, 2021
Hamilton Academical	Kilmarnock	2 - 3	November 30, 2021
Kilmarnock	Hamilton Academical	2 - 1	October 23, 2021
Hamilton Academical	Kilmarnock	0 - 2	August 21, 2021
Hamilton Academical	Kilmarnock	0 - 2	May 16, 2021

Kilmarnock Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Linfield	2 - 3	Win
Jul 1, 26	Away	Glentoran	0 - 4	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Livingston	1 - 4	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Dundee	3 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	ST Mirren	0 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Dundee Utd	3 - 0	Win

Hamilton Academical Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Haverfordwest County AFC	0 - 4	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Linlithgow Rose	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	2 - 2	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Clyde	4 - 3	Win
May 12, 26	Away	Clyde	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Forfar Athletic	2 - 1	Win

League Cup Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Hamilton Academical	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Kilmarnock	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.82% likelihood that both Kilmarnock and Hamilton Academical will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Kilmarnock to win

This prediction indicates that Kilmarnock has a 63.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.52 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 80.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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