Victoria Premier League 2
Match Analysis
Kingston City
Malvern
Kingston City
W
W
L
L
L
D
Malvern
W
D
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Kingston City have shown moderate recent form, while Malvern have been in strong recent form. Malvern also carry a clear quality advantage and have displayed strong attacking form recently, whereas Kingston City have had defensive struggles. The model predicts a 67% chance of an away win, showing notable confidence in Malvern despite the lack of detailed historical match data between the sides. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to feature more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kingston City | Malvern | 0 - 5 | May 9, 2026 |
Kingston City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Altona City | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Moreland City | 3 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Springvale | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Essendon Royals SC | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Goulburn Valley Suns | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Whittlesea United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Malvern Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Springvale | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Eastern Lions | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Goulburn Valley Suns | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Nunawading | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Moreland City | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Keilor Park | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Victoria Premier League 2 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 61 | 29 | +32 | 53 |
| 10 | Kingston City | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.61% likelihood that both Kingston City and Malvern will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Malvern to win
This prediction indicates that Malvern has a 66.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.48 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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