Kirovets Voskhozhdenie vs FC Tosno Wednesday 29th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Kirovets Voskhozhdenie FC Tosno

Kirovets Voskhozhdenie L L

FC Tosno L L L L L D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Kirovets Voskhozhdenie Form (Last 2 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 24	Home	Tver	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 2, 23	Home	Dinamo St. Petersburg	0 - 1	Loss

FC Tosno Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 13, 18	Away	FC UFA	5 - 0	Loss
May 5, 18	Home	Dynamo	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 29, 18	Away	FC Rostov	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 22, 18	Home	Amkar	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 13, 18	Away	Akhmat	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 8, 18	Home	Ural	2 - 2	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.68% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Kirovets Voskhozhdenie or FC Tosno to win

This prediction indicates that Kirovets Voskhozhdenie has a 39.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.11 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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