Kongsvinger vs Sogndal Friday 03rd July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Kongsvinger Sogndal

Kongsvinger L D W W L W

Sogndal W L L W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sogndal	Kongsvinger	2 - 2	September 28, 2025
Kongsvinger	Sogndal	4 - 2	June 14, 2025
Kongsvinger	Sogndal	0 - 1	November 2, 2024
Sogndal	Kongsvinger	2 - 0	June 22, 2024
Sogndal	Kongsvinger	3 - 3	August 19, 2023
Kongsvinger	Sogndal	1 - 0	May 29, 2023

Kongsvinger Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Haugesund	4 - 2	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Stromsgodset	4 - 4	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Away	hodd	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Asane	3 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Stabaek	2 - 0	Loss
May 20, 26	Home	ODD Ballklubb	4 - 2	Win

Sogndal Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Egersund	4 - 2	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Raufoss	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Moss	2 - 4	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Strommen	2 - 3	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Sandnes ULF	2 - 0	Loss
May 20, 26	Home	Stabaek	2 - 2	Draw

1. Division Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Kongsvinger	12	8	3	1	29	16	+13	27
12	Sogndal	12	3	3	6	20	29	-9	12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.22% likelihood that both Kongsvinger and Sogndal will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Kongsvinger to win

This prediction indicates that Kongsvinger has a 54.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.22 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 75.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply