Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn Thursday 02nd July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Kuressaare Flora Tallinn

Kuressaare L D L D W L

Flora Tallinn W L W L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Flora Tallinn	Kuressaare	2 - 1	April 7, 2026
Flora Tallinn	Kuressaare	2 - 0	November 1, 2025
Kuressaare	Flora Tallinn	1 - 2	August 24, 2025
Kuressaare	Flora Tallinn	1 - 3	May 27, 2025
Flora Tallinn	Kuressaare	5 - 0	March 29, 2025
Flora Tallinn	Kuressaare	3 - 0	October 26, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Vaprus	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Home	Trans Narva	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Laagri	2 - 3	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Paide	1 - 1	Draw
May 20, 26	Home	Nõmme United	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Kalju Nomme	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	FC Levadia Tallinn	1 - 2	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	Paide	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Away	Vaprus	1 - 2	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	FC Levadia Tallinn	1 - 3	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Nõmme United	0 - 4	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Trans Narva	0 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Flora Tallinn	16	10	0	6	33	18	+15	30
9	Kuressaare	17	3	2	12	15	29	-14	11

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Flora Tallinn has a 64.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.00 %

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