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Meistriliiga

July 2, 2026 2 days, 13 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Kuressaare Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare L D L D W L
Flora Tallinn W L W L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Flora Tallinn Kuressaare 2 - 1 April 7, 2026
Flora Tallinn Kuressaare 2 - 0 November 1, 2025
Kuressaare Flora Tallinn 1 - 2 August 24, 2025
Kuressaare Flora Tallinn 1 - 3 May 27, 2025
Flora Tallinn Kuressaare 5 - 0 March 29, 2025
Flora Tallinn Kuressaare 3 - 0 October 26, 2024

Kuressaare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Away Vaprus 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Home Trans Narva 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Home Laagri 2 - 3 Loss
May 31, 26 Away Paide 1 - 1 Draw
May 20, 26 Home Nõmme United 2 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Home Kalju Nomme 0 - 2 Loss

Flora Tallinn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 2 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home Paide 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Away Vaprus 1 - 2 Win
Jun 13, 26 Home FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 3 Loss
May 29, 26 Away Nõmme United 0 - 4 Win
May 16, 26 Away Trans Narva 0 - 3 Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Flora Tallinn 16 10 0 6 33 18 +15 30
9 Kuressaare 17 3 2 12 15 29 -14 11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Flora Tallinn to win
This prediction indicates that Flora Tallinn has a 64.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.00 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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