Kuressaare vs Trans Narva Wednesday 17th June 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Kuressaare Trans Narva

Kuressaare L D W L L L

Trans Narva L L W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Trans Narva	Kuressaare	1 - 2	April 18, 2026
Kuressaare	Trans Narva	2 - 2	February 21, 2026
Kuressaare	Trans Narva	0 - 0	September 20, 2025
Trans Narva	Kuressaare	3 - 2	July 5, 2025
Kuressaare	Trans Narva	2 - 1	April 27, 2025
Trans Narva	Kuressaare	0 - 2	March 8, 2025

Kuressaare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Home	Laagri	2 - 3	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Paide	1 - 1	Draw
May 20, 26	Home	Nõmme United	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Kalju Nomme	0 - 2	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Tammeka	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	FC Levadia Tallinn	1 - 2	Loss

Trans Narva Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Home	Nõmme United	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Laagri	3 - 0	Loss
May 20, 26	Home	Paide	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	0 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Vaprus	2 - 0	Loss
May 1, 26	Home	Kalju Nomme	0 - 3	Loss

Meistriliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Kuressaare	15	3	1	11	15	28	-13	10
10	Trans Narva	15	3	0	12	11	39	-28	9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.02% likelihood that both Kuressaare and Trans Narva will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Kuressaare to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Kuressaare has a 36.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.59 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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