Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon Monday 28th September 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Friendlies

Sept. 28, 2026 1 week, 2 days from now VS

Kyrgyzstan Lebanon

Kyrgyzstan D D L L W D

Lebanon D W L W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Home	Palestine	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Home	Palestine	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 28, 26	Home	Madagascar	2 - 5	Loss
Mar 25, 26	Home	Equatorial Guinea	0 - 1	Loss
Jan 9, 24	Home	Vietnam	2 - 1	Win
Jan 5, 24	Away	Syria	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 25	Away	Indonesia	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 24, 25	Away	Qatar	0 - 1	Win
May 28, 25	Away	Oman	1 - 0	Loss
Mar 20, 25	Home	Timor-Leste	4 - 0	Win
Dec 15, 24	Away	Kuwait	0 - 2	Win
Dec 12, 24	Away	Kuwait	1 - 2	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Lebanon has a 35.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.82 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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