Kyzyl-Zhar vs FC Astana Sunday 16th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Kyzyl-Zhar FC Astana

Kyzyl-Zhar W W D L L L

FC Astana W L W W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Astana	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 1	May 9, 2026
FC Astana	Kyzyl-Zhar	3 - 3	June 29, 2025
Kyzyl-Zhar	FC Astana	0 - 2	March 9, 2025
FC Astana	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 1	September 14, 2024
Kyzyl-Zhar	FC Astana	0 - 1	June 22, 2024
Kyzyl-Zhar	FC Astana	1 - 0	July 29, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Aktobe	3 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Zhetysu	1 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Yelimay Semey	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Yelimay Semey	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	2 - 4	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Altay	4 - 1	Win
Jul 16, 26	Home	Dinamo Tirana	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Home	Aktobe	3 - 2	Win
Jul 9, 26	Away	Dinamo Tirana	0 - 1	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Zhenys	1 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Zhenys	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	FC Astana	18	9	5	4	29	20	+9	32
12	Kyzyl-Zhar	19	5	4	10	20	27	-7	19

This prediction indicates that FC Astana has a 54.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.50 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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