Kyzyl-Zhar vs Yelimay Semey Saturday 04th July 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Kyzyl-Zhar Yelimay Semey

Kyzyl-Zhar L L L L W D

Yelimay Semey W W L W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Yelimay Semey	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 0	June 27, 2026
Yelimay Semey	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 0	August 23, 2025
Kyzyl-Zhar	Yelimay Semey	1 - 1	May 25, 2025
Yelimay Semey	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 1	August 24, 2024
Kyzyl-Zhar	Yelimay Semey	1 - 1	June 2, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Yelimay Semey	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	2 - 4	Loss
Jun 17, 26	Away	Kairat Almaty	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	FK Tobol Kostanay	2 - 0	Loss
May 28, 26	Home	Zhetysu	3 - 2	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Aktobe	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 0	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Atyrau	1 - 2	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Ordabasy	1 - 3	Loss
May 28, 26	Away	Kaisar	2 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Zhenys	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Irtysh	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Yelimay Semey	15	7	5	3	24	18	+6	26
11	Kyzyl-Zhar	16	4	3	9	17	24	-7	15

This prediction indicates that Yelimay Semey has a 47.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.97 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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