KäPa vs Haka Friday 25th September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Ykkösliiga

Sept. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

KäPa Haka

KäPa D D L L L L

Haka L L W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Haka	KäPa	3 - 1	July 25, 2026
Haka	KäPa	2 - 2	April 25, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 7, 26	Away	Klubi-04	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 28, 26	Away	JäPS	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 20, 26	Home	JIPPO	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Away	Kooteepee	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	EIF	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 29, 26	Away	MP	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 6, 26	Home	MP	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Away	Kooteepee	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Home	SJK Akatemia	2 - 0	Win
Aug 14, 26	Away	JäPS	1 - 2	Win
Aug 7, 26	Home	JIPPO	3 - 0	Win
Jul 31, 26	Away	PK-35	1 - 4	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Haka	22	12	4	6	41	24	+17	40
9	KäPa	21	4	5	12	21	35	-14	17

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.54% likelihood that both KäPa and Haka will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

This prediction indicates that Haka has a 53.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.64 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

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