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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 21, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Lagarto CSA
Lagarto W W D D D L
CSA L L D L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Lagarto Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Home Decisão 1 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Away Treze 1 - 2 Win
May 24, 26 Away Retrô 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Sergipe 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Serra Branca 0 - 0 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Serra Branca 1 - 2 Loss

CSA Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Home Juazeirense 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Atlético Alagoinhas 1 - 7 Loss
May 23, 26 Away ASA 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Home CSE 1 - 5 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Jacuipense 2 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Juazeirense 2 - 0 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
54 Lagarto 10 3 4 3 14 15 -1 13
72 CSA 10 3 2 5 14 20 -6 11

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Most Likely Scorelines

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