Lanus vs Independiente Sunday 16th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Lanus Independiente

Lanus L W W L W L

Independiente W W L W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Independiente	Lanus	2 - 0	February 13, 2026
Independiente	Lanus	0 - 2	October 13, 2025
Lanus	Independiente	1 - 1	April 6, 2025
Lanus	Independiente	0 - 2	October 18, 2024
Independiente	Lanus	1 - 1	May 27, 2023
Lanus	Independiente	1 - 1	August 13, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	Cienciano	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	San Lorenzo	1 - 0	Win
Jul 23, 26	Home	Cienciano	2 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Instituto Cordoba	2 - 1	Loss
May 26, 26	Home	Mirassol	1 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Away	LDU de Quito	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Newells Old Boys	1 - 0	Win
Jul 26, 26	Away	Estudiantes L.P.	0 - 2	Win
May 27, 26	Away	Racing Club	2 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Away	Union Santa Fe	0 - 2	Win
May 21, 26	Home	Botafogo	0 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Rosario Central	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Independiente	19	8	6	5	28	23	+5	30
13	Lanus	18	7	6	5	19	17	+2	27

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Lanus has a 40.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.40 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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