Larne vs Saburtalo Thursday 06th August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Larne Saburtalo

Larne L L W W W W

Saburtalo D L D W W L

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Away	FK Crvena Zvezda	5 - 0	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	FK Crvena Zvezda	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Tre Fiori	2 - 1	Win
Jul 7, 26	Away	Tre Fiori	0 - 1	Win
Jun 29, 26	Away	H&W Welders	1 - 2	Win
Jun 23, 26	Home	GAP Connah S Quay FC	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Away	Slovan Bratislava	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 21, 26	Home	Slovan Bratislava	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 8, 26	Away	Flora Tallinn	2 - 3	Win
Jun 23, 26	Home	Meshakhte	2 - 1	Win
Jun 17, 26	Home	Rustavi	1 - 2	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Larne has a 53.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.63 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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