Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive Sunday 05th July 2026 05:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Las Vegas Lights El Paso Locomotive

Las Vegas Lights L W D W L W

El Paso Locomotive L D D L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
El Paso Locomotive	Las Vegas Lights	3 - 2	April 5, 2026
El Paso Locomotive	Las Vegas Lights	6 - 0	August 3, 2025
Las Vegas Lights	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 2	May 25, 2025
El Paso Locomotive	Las Vegas Lights	0 - 2	July 13, 2024
Las Vegas Lights	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 0	March 24, 2024
Las Vegas Lights	El Paso Locomotive	0 - 1	September 14, 2023

Las Vegas Lights Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Orange County SC	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	FC Tulsa	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	New Mexico United	3 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Lexington	2 - 1	Win

El Paso Locomotive Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	Monterey Bay	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Phoenix Rising	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 10, 26	Away	Detroit City	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Lexington	1 - 4	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	2 - 1	Loss
May 7, 26	Away	New Mexico United	2 - 2	Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
17	El Paso Locomotive	13	4	4	5	23	23	0	16
20	Las Vegas Lights	13	4	3	6	20	23	-3	15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.65% likelihood that both Las Vegas Lights and El Paso Locomotive will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

El Paso Locomotive to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that El Paso Locomotive has a 41.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.59 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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