Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa Sunday 31st May 2026 05:30 AM football predictions.

Las Vegas Lights FC Tulsa

Las Vegas Lights W L W L D L

FC Tulsa W W W D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Tulsa	Las Vegas Lights	3 - 2	March 22, 2026
FC Tulsa	Las Vegas Lights	4 - 3	July 13, 2025
Las Vegas Lights	FC Tulsa	1 - 4	April 20, 2025
FC Tulsa	Las Vegas Lights	1 - 1	September 12, 2024
Las Vegas Lights	FC Tulsa	1 - 3	March 17, 2024
Las Vegas Lights	FC Tulsa	1 - 1	May 14, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	New Mexico United	3 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Lexington	2 - 1	Win
Apr 23, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	4 - 2	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Home	Sacramento Republic	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 5, 26	Away	El Paso Locomotive	3 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Hartford Athletic	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Monterey Bay	1 - 2	Win
Apr 30, 26	Away	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 4	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Home	Orange County SC	0 - 1	Loss
Mar 29, 26	Home	Phoenix Rising	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	FC Tulsa	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
18	Las Vegas Lights	10	3	2	5	16	19	-3	11

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FC Tulsa has a 57.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.06 %

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