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USL Championship

Aug. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Las Vegas Lights Oakland Roots
Las Vegas Lights W L L W D W
Oakland Roots L W D D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Oakland Roots Las Vegas Lights 4 - 2 April 23, 2026
Las Vegas Lights Oakland Roots 2 - 2 October 12, 2025
Oakland Roots Las Vegas Lights 0 - 0 March 30, 2025
Las Vegas Lights Oakland Roots 2 - 3 October 20, 2024
Oakland Roots Las Vegas Lights 0 - 3 March 31, 2024
Las Vegas Lights Oakland Roots 3 - 1 September 10, 2023

Las Vegas Lights Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 19, 26 Away San Antonio 1 - 2 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home El Paso Locomotive 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Orange County SC 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away Birmingham Legion 1 - 2 Win
May 31, 26 Home FC Tulsa 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Colorado Springs 2 - 0 Win

Oakland Roots Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 5, 26 Away New Mexico United 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away Phoenix Rising 3 - 4 Win
Jun 17, 26 Home Birmingham Legion 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home Miami FC 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Colorado Springs 0 - 1 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Orange County SC 3 - 2 Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Oakland Roots 15 5 6 4 24 22 +2 21
20 Las Vegas Lights 14 4 3 7 21 25 -4 15

Predictions

Las Vegas Lights to win
This prediction indicates that Las Vegas Lights has a 41.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.25 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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