Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Sunday 21st June 2026 05:30 AM football predictions.

Las Vegas Lights Orange County SC

Las Vegas Lights W D W L W L

Orange County SC D W D L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Orange County SC	Las Vegas Lights	1 - 1	March 8, 2026
Orange County SC	Las Vegas Lights	4 - 0	July 20, 2025
Las Vegas Lights	Orange County SC	1 - 0	April 6, 2025
Las Vegas Lights	Orange County SC	1 - 1	October 6, 2024
Orange County SC	Las Vegas Lights	2 - 3	September 1, 2024
Las Vegas Lights	Orange County SC	1 - 5	September 3, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	FC Tulsa	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	New Mexico United	3 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Lexington	2 - 1	Win
Apr 23, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	4 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Away	New Mexico United	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Oakland Roots	3 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	2 - 2	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Sacramento Republic	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Lexington	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Away	FC Tulsa	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Orange County SC	12	5	5	2	15	11	+4	20
19	Las Vegas Lights	12	4	3	5	18	20	-2	15

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Orange County SC has a 39.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.79 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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