Latvia vs Montenegro Friday 02nd October 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

UEFA Nations League

Latvia

Oct. 2, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Montenegro

Match Analysis

Latvia Montenegro

Latvia W W L D L D

Montenegro D W L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Montenegro	Latvia	0 - 0	September 7, 2021
Latvia	Montenegro	1 - 2	March 24, 2021
Montenegro	Latvia	1 - 1	October 7, 2020

Latvia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 31, 26	Home	Gibraltar	1 - 0	Win
Mar 26, 26	Away	Gibraltar	0 - 1	Win
Nov 16, 25	Away	Serbia	2 - 1	Loss
Nov 13, 25	Away	FYR Macedonia	0 - 0	Draw
Oct 14, 25	Home	England	0 - 5	Loss
Oct 11, 25	Home	Andorra	2 - 2	Draw

Montenegro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Away	Slovakia	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 1, 26	Away	Bulgaria	0 - 1	Win
Mar 31, 26	Home	Slovenia	2 - 3	Loss
Mar 27, 26	Home	Andorra	2 - 0	Win
Nov 17, 25	Home	Croatia	2 - 3	Loss
Nov 14, 25	Away	Gibraltar	1 - 2	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.41% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Latvia to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Latvia has a 35.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.37 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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