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Coppa Italia

Aug. 16, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Lazio Mantova
Lazio W W W L L L
Mantova W W L W W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Lazio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Avellino 6 - 3 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Flaminia 6 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Home Pisa 2 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Away AS Roma 2 - 0 Loss
May 13, 26 Home Inter 0 - 2 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Inter 0 - 3 Loss

Mantova Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 30, 26 Home Alcione 6 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Ambrosiana 7 - 0 Win
May 8, 26 Away Frosinone 5 - 0 Loss
May 1, 26 Home Monza 3 - 2 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Sudtirol 0 - 3 Win
Apr 18, 26 Home Avellino 0 - 2 Loss

Predictions

Lazio to win
This prediction indicates that Lazio has a 63.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.20 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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