LD Alajuelense vs San Carlos Monday 24th August 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Primera División

Aug. 24, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

LD Alajuelense San Carlos

LD Alajuelense W D L W D W

San Carlos L L L D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
San Carlos	LD Alajuelense	0 - 2	March 8, 2026
LD Alajuelense	San Carlos	1 - 0	January 25, 2026
San Carlos	LD Alajuelense	0 - 2	December 7, 2025
LD Alajuelense	San Carlos	2 - 0	September 17, 2025
LD Alajuelense	San Carlos	0 - 0	March 28, 2025
San Carlos	LD Alajuelense	0 - 0	January 30, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Home	Escorpiones Belén	2 - 1	Win
Jul 26, 26	Away	Sporting San Jose	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Municipal Liberia	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Home	Puntarenas FC	5 - 2	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Deportivo Saprissa	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Away	Sporting San Jose	0 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 9, 26	Away	Inter San Carlos	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Away	Deportivo Saprissa	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Escorpiones Belén	0 - 3	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Perez Zeledon	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 22, 26	Away	CS Cartagines	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	CS Herediano	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	LD Alajuelense	2	1	1	0	3	2	+1	4
10	San Carlos	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 59.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that LD Alajuelense has a 68.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.38 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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