Liga Pro Serie B
Match Analysis
LDU Portoviejo
22 de Julio
LDU Portoviejo
D
D
L
W
L
L
22 de Julio
L
L
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match between LDU Portoviejo and 22 de Julio shows a clear quality gap favoring the home side, LDU Portoviejo. However, both teams are coming in with poor recent form and have had defensive struggles. The model predicts a home win with a 60% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest. The model also leans toward an outcome with fewer goals, predicting 'under' on both the 1.5 and 2.5 goal lines, again showing more confidence in a low-scoring game than the market odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 de Julio | LDU Portoviejo | 1 - 0 | March 21, 2026 |
LDU Portoviejo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Cuniburo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Cumbayá | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Atletico FC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Vargas Torres | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Ind. Juniors | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 9, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 1 - 0 | Loss |
22 de Julio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | Ind. Juniors | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | El Nacional | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | 9 de Octubre | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Gualaceo SC | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Cuniburo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Liga Pro Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | LDU Portoviejo | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 24 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 15 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 63.44% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
LDU Portoviejo to win
This prediction indicates that LDU Portoviejo has a 59.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.58 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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