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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round logo

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Leça Bragança
Leça L W D W W L
Bragança W D D L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Bragança Leça 1 - 1 May 10, 2026

Leça Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 22, 26 Away Rebordosa 2 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Vianense 3 - 4 Win
May 10, 26 Away Bragança 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Rebordosa 1 - 0 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Vianense 4 - 2 Win
Aug 31, 25 Away Rebordosa 2 - 0 Loss

Bragança Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Vianense 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Rebordosa 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Leça 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Away Vianense 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home Rebordosa 2 - 1 Win
Apr 18, 26 Home Vilaverdense 3 - 0 Win

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Leça 5 3 1 1 11 8 +3 10
4 Bragança 5 2 2 1 5 4 +1 8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.9% likelihood that both Leça and Bragança will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Leça or Bragança to win
This prediction indicates that Leça has a 39.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.60 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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