Leça vs São João Ver Sunday 09th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Leça São João Ver

Leça L D W L W D

São João Ver W L W W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Away	Santa Clara	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 10, 26	Home	Vitória de Sernache	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Bragança	1 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Rebordosa	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Vianense	3 - 4	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Bragança	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	União Lamas	0 - 1	Win
Jul 3, 26	Away	SC Braga	1 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Sanjoanense	2 - 1	Win
Apr 28, 26	Away	Fafe	1 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Paredes	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Home	AD Marco 09	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	São João Ver	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Leça	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Leça has a 38.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.78 %

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