Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round
Match Analysis
Leça
Vitória de Sernache
Leça
W
L
W
D
W
W
Vitória de Sernache
D
W
D
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Leça Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Home | Bragança | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 22, 26 | Away | Rebordosa | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Vianense | 3 - 4 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Bragança | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Rebordosa | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Vianense | 4 - 2 | Win |
Vitória de Sernache Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Home | Louletano | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Atlético Malveira | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Oliveira Hospital | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Louletano | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Atlético Malveira | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Oliveira Hospital | 1 - 2 | Win |
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leça | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 12 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.29% likelihood that both Leça and Vitória de Sernache will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Vitória de Sernache to win
This prediction indicates that Vitória de Sernache has a 42.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.02 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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