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FA Cup

Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Leamington Gainsborough Trinity
Leamington W W L D D W
Gainsborough Trinity W L D L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Leamington Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Ilkeston Town 3 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Yate Town 3 - 1 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Coventry City U21 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Brackley Town 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Home Walsall 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 7, 26 Away Sutton Coldfield Town 1 - 3 Win

Gainsborough Trinity Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Sherwood Colliery 2 - 4 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Bradford (Park Avenue) 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Doncaster 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 21, 26 Home FC Halifax Town 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Basford United 1 - 1 Draw
Nov 2, 25 Home Accrington ST 1 - 1 Draw

Predictions

Leamington or Gainsborough Trinity to win
This prediction indicates that Gainsborough Trinity has a 38.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.37 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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