UEFA Champions League
Match Analysis
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
Lech Poznan
W
W
D
W
D
W
Aarhus
L
W
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Lech Poznan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Bohemians 1905 | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Podbrezová | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Wisla Plock | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Radomiak Radom | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Home | Arka Gdynia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Motor Lublin | 0 - 1 | Win |
Aarhus Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Union St. Gilloise | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Motherwell | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Viborg | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Viborg | 6 - 2 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Brondby | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Sonderjyske | 2 - 1 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.17% likelihood that both Lech Poznan and Aarhus will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Aarhus to win
This prediction indicates that Aarhus has a 45.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.80 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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