Ekstraklasa
Match Analysis
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
W
D
W
W
W
W
Jagiellonia
W
W
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Lech Poznan and Jagiellonia arrive with strong recent form, but Lech Poznan holds a modest quality edge. Their recent meetings have often ended in draws but with plenty of goals, suggesting an open and attacking game. The model predicts a home win with a 58% probability, which is higher than what the market odds imply, and also predicts both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's view on goal volume.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia | Lech Poznan | 0 - 0 | April 4, 2026 |
| Lech Poznan | Jagiellonia | 2 - 2 | September 28, 2025 |
| Jagiellonia | Lech Poznan | 2 - 1 | March 16, 2025 |
| Lech Poznan | Jagiellonia | 5 - 0 | September 14, 2024 |
| Jagiellonia | Lech Poznan | 1 - 2 | February 17, 2024 |
| Lech Poznan | Jagiellonia | 3 - 3 | October 24, 2023 |
Lech Poznan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Widzew Łódź | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | FC Thun | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | FC Thun | 7 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | KI Klaksvik | 0 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Piast Gliwice | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | KI Klaksvik | 1 - 0 | Win |
Jagiellonia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Raków Częstochowa | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | Saburtalo | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Saburtalo | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Rangers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Widzew Łódź | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Rangers | 2 - 1 | Win |
Ekstraklasa Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 9 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.01% likelihood that both Lech Poznan and Jagiellonia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Lech Poznan to win
This prediction indicates that Lech Poznan has a 58.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.24 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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