Leganes vs Castellón Monday 28th September 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Segunda División

Sept. 28, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Leganes Castellón

Leganes L D W W D D

Castellón W W W D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Castellón	Leganes	2 - 0	January 16, 2026
Leganes	Castellón	0 - 1	September 29, 2025
Leganes	Castellón	0 - 0	March 6, 2021
Castellón	Leganes	2 - 0	October 4, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 13, 26	Away	Tenerife	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Away	Las Palmas	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Eldense	1 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Oviedo	0 - 1	Win
Aug 16, 26	Away	Girona	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Tenerife	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Away	Girona	1 - 2	Win
Sep 6, 26	Home	Albacete	2 - 0	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Celta de Vigo II	1 - 2	Win
Aug 23, 26	Home	Sabadell	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 14, 26	Away	Real Sociedad II	0 - 1	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	Levante	1 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Castellón	5	4	1	0	7	2	+5	13
8	Leganes	4	2	2	0	3	1	+2	8

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.82% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Castellón has a 47.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.33 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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