Leicester vs Northampton Saturday 08th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Leicester Northampton

Leicester W W W W W D

Northampton W D L L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Leicester	Northampton	3 - 0	July 11, 2026
Northampton	Leicester	0 - 1	July 15, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	Cadiz	0 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Burton Albion	0 - 3	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	1 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Northampton	3 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Blackburn	0 - 1	Win
Apr 24, 26	Home	Millwall	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	Southend	1 - 3	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Coventry	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Leicester	3 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Plymouth	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 28, 26	Home	Barnsley	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Cardiff	5 - 1	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Leicester has a 65.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.82 %

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