Leixoes vs Tondela Sunday 16th August 2026 05:30 PM football predictions.

Leixoes Tondela

Leixoes W W D W W W

Tondela L D L L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Leixoes	Tondela	0 - 1	March 10, 2025
Tondela	Leixoes	2 - 1	October 12, 2024
Leixoes	Tondela	1 - 1	March 3, 2024
Tondela	Leixoes	4 - 2	October 7, 2023
Tondela	Leixoes	2 - 3	April 8, 2023
Leixoes	Tondela	1 - 1	October 24, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Casa Pia	6 - 2	Win
Jul 29, 26	Home	Vizela	3 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Nacional	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 17, 26	Away	Maritimo	1 - 5	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Lusitânia Lourosa	2 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Chaves	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Rio Ave	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 29, 26	Home	São João Ver	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Home	Beira-Mar	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Famalicao	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Home	Academica	2 - 1	Win
Jul 19, 26	Home	Nacional	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Tondela	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Leixoes	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Tondela has a 37.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.97 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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