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First League

July 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Leningradets Ural
Leningradets L L L W D W
Ural D W L L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Leningradets Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Away Makhachkala 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away Zenit 4 - 0 Loss
Feb 5, 26 Home Surkhon 0 - 2 Loss
Jan 29, 26 Away Montana 0 - 1 Win
Jan 21, 26 Away Volga Ulyanovsk 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 20, 25 Home Luki-Energiya 2 - 0 Win

Ural Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Home Chelyabinsk 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Home Chelyabinsk 3 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Makhachkala 2 - 0 Loss
May 20, 26 Home Makhachkala 0 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Chernomorets 2 - 1 Loss
May 11, 26 Home KAMAZ 2 - 0 Win

First League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Ural None None None None None None None None
None Leningradets None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Ural to win
This prediction indicates that Ural has a 59.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.04 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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