Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC Wednesday 22nd July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Leones del Norte Guayaquil City FC

Leones del Norte W D L W L W

Guayaquil City FC L L D L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Guayaquil City FC	Leones del Norte	0 - 0	March 23, 2026
Leones del Norte	Guayaquil City FC	0 - 0	October 29, 2025
Guayaquil City FC	Leones del Norte	2 - 1	August 27, 2025
Leones del Norte	Guayaquil City FC	2 - 1	July 23, 2025
Guayaquil City FC	Leones del Norte	0 - 1	May 15, 2025
Guayaquil City FC	Leones del Norte	2 - 0	October 18, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Libertad	1 - 3	Win
Jun 1, 26	Home	Macara	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Tecnico Universitario	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Mushuc Runa SC	3 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Orense SC	2 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Emelec	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Away	Aucas	1 - 0	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Independiente del Valle	2 - 4	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Mushuc Runa SC	2 - 2	Draw
May 19, 26	Home	Orense SC	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Deportivo Cuenca	0 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	LDU de Quito	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Leones del Norte	17	5	5	7	18	19	-1	20
13	Guayaquil City FC	16	5	4	7	14	19	-5	19

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Leones del Norte has a 38.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.60 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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