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July 12, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Leones del Norte Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte D L W L W L
Universidad Catolica L W D L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Universidad Catolica Leones del Norte 3 - 0 March 8, 2026

Leones del Norte Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 1, 26 Home Macara 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Tecnico Universitario 2 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Mushuc Runa SC 3 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Orense SC 2 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Emelec 2 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Independiente del Valle 2 - 1 Loss

Universidad Catolica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Emelec 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Orense SC 1 - 2 Win
May 16, 26 Home Delfin SC 2 - 2 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Aucas 2 - 1 Loss
May 1, 26 Home Independiente del Valle 2 - 3 Loss
Apr 27, 26 Away Manta FC 1 - 0 Loss

Liga Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Universidad Catolica 16 7 5 4 26 14 +12 26
13 Leones del Norte 16 4 5 7 15 18 -3 17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Universidad Catolica to win
This prediction indicates that Universidad Catolica has a 48.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.41 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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