Leones del Norte vs Universidad Catolica Sunday 12th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Leones del Norte Universidad Catolica

Leones del Norte D L W L W L

Universidad Catolica L W D L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Universidad Catolica	Leones del Norte	3 - 0	March 8, 2026

Leones del Norte Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 1, 26	Home	Macara	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Tecnico Universitario	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Mushuc Runa SC	3 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Orense SC	2 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Emelec	2 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Independiente del Valle	2 - 1	Loss

Universidad Catolica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Away	Emelec	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Orense SC	1 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Delfin SC	2 - 2	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Aucas	2 - 1	Loss
May 1, 26	Home	Independiente del Valle	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 27, 26	Away	Manta FC	1 - 0	Loss

Liga Pro Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Universidad Catolica	16	7	5	4	26	14	+12	26
13	Leones del Norte	16	4	5	7	15	18	-3	17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Universidad Catolica to win

This prediction indicates that Universidad Catolica has a 48.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.41 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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