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Copa Colombia

May 30, 2026 1 month ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Leones FC Independiente Medellin
Leones FC D W L L D D
Independiente Medellin L W D W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Independiente Medellin Leones FC 1 - 1 September 9, 2018
Leones FC Independiente Medellin 0 - 2 March 19, 2018

Leones FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 16, 26 Away Cucuta 0 - 0 Draw
May 12, 26 Home Orsomarso 2 - 0 Win
May 8, 26 Away Fortaleza FC 4 - 1 Loss
May 28, 25 Home La Equidad 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 25, 24 Home Deportivo Pereira 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 10, 24 Away Deportivo Pereira 1 - 1 Draw

Independiente Medellin Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 27, 26 Away Estudiantes L.P. 1 - 0 Loss
May 21, 26 Away Cusco 2 - 3 Win
May 16, 26 Away Orsomarso 1 - 1 Draw
May 11, 26 Home Fortaleza FC 1 - 0 Win
May 8, 26 Home Flamengo 0 - 3 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Rionegro Aguilas 1 - 2 Loss

Copa Colombia Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Independiente Medellin 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
14 Leones FC 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Independiente Medellin to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente Medellin has a 47.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.41 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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