Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Match Analysis
Lesotho
Morocco
Lesotho
L
D
W
D
L
D
Morocco
L
W
D
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco | Lesotho | 7 - 0 | November 18, 2024 |
| Lesotho | Morocco | 0 - 1 | September 9, 2024 |
Lesotho Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Kenya | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 4, 26 | Home | Kenya | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Mar 29, 26 | Home | Seychelles | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Mar 26, 26 | Away | Seychelles | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Nov 18, 25 | Home | Malawi | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Nov 15, 25 | Home | Malawi | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Morocco Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 26 | Away | France | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Canada | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 30, 26 | Away | Netherlands | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 24, 26 | Home | Haiti | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 19, 26 | Away | Scotland | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Brazil | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Morocco to win
This prediction indicates that Morocco has a 70.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.74 %Most Likely Scorelines
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