First League
Match Analysis
Levski Sofia
Spartak Varna
Levski Sofia
W
W
W
D
W
W
Spartak Varna
W
W
D
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna | Levski Sofia | 1 - 3 | December 7, 2025 |
| Levski Sofia | Spartak Varna | 2 - 1 | August 10, 2025 |
| Levski Sofia | Spartak Varna | 2 - 0 | February 21, 2025 |
| Spartak Varna | Levski Sofia | 0 - 0 | August 31, 2024 |
| Spartak Varna | Levski Sofia | 2 - 2 | November 6, 2022 |
| Levski Sofia | Spartak Varna | 5 - 0 | July 16, 2022 |
Levski Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Kairat Almaty | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Septemvri Sofia | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | CS Universitatea Craiova | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Lokomotiv Sofia | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 - 0 | Win |
Spartak Varna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Cherno More Varna | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | CSKA 1948 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Dobrudzha | 7 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Nesebar | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Botev Plovdiv | 1 - 0 | Loss |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 | Spartak Varna | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Levski Sofia to win
This prediction indicates that Levski Sofia has a 74.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.56 %Most Likely Scorelines
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