Lexington vs FC Tulsa Saturday 10th October 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

USL Championship

Oct. 10, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Lexington FC Tulsa

Lexington W W L L L W

FC Tulsa D L D W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Tulsa	Lexington	0 - 0	July 26, 2026
FC Tulsa	Lexington	3 - 0	October 5, 2025
Lexington	FC Tulsa	0 - 2	May 18, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Orange County SC	6 - 0	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	1 - 4	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Sporting JAX	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 27, 26	Away	New Mexico United	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Las Vegas Lights	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Brooklyn	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Away	San Antonio	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 30, 26	Home	Rhode Island	1 - 0	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	Orange County SC	1 - 5	Win
Aug 16, 26	Away	New Mexico United	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Lexington	25	11	4	10	43	30	+13	37
11	FC Tulsa	24	10	7	7	29	23	+6	37

This prediction indicates that Lexington has a 41.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.84 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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